Viewing archive of Thursday, 3 July 1997

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Jul 03 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 184 Issued at 2200Z on 03 JUL 1997

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02-2100Z to 03-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY HAS BEEN VERY LOW FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. SPOTS SEEN EARLY IN THE DAY IN REGION 8058 (S22E30) HAVE FADED AWAY. SPOTS MAY BE FORMING IN A NEW PLAGE REGION NEAR S27E13. NO SIGNIFICANT ACTIVITY WAS REPORTED ON THE DISK OR LIMBS.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02-2100Z to 03-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT 3 DAYS.
III. Event Probabilities 04 JUL to 06 JUL
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       03 JUL 069
  Predicted   04 JUL-06 JUL  072/072/072
  90 Day Mean        03 JUL 073
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 02 JUL  004/004
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 03 JUL  005/007
PREDICTED AFR/AP 04 JUL-06 JUL  006/008-010/010-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 JUL to 06 JUL
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active05%10%15%
Minor storm05%05%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

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