Viewing archive of Monday, 5 May 1997
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 May 05 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 125 Issued at 2200Z on 05 MAY 1997IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NEW REGION 8038 (N19E71)
ROTATED INTO VIEW TODAY, BUT APPEARS TO BE A VERY STABLE SUNSPOT
GROUP.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS MOSTLY QUIET DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. A
BRIEF PERIOD OF UNSETTLED CONDITIONS OCCURRED BETWEEN 00-03Z. THE
GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUXES WERE AT HIGH LEVELS DURING THE
DAY.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Event Probabilities 06 MAY to 08 MAY
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 05 MAY 072 Predicted 06 MAY-08 MAY 073/074/075 90 Day Mean 05 MAY 074
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 04 MAY 009/007 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 05 MAY 005/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 06 MAY-08 MAY 005/008-005/010-008/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 MAY to 08 MAY
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 05% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 25% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 05% |
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