Viewing archive of Monday, 24 March 1997

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Mar 24 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 083 Issued at 2200Z on 24 MAR 1997

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 23-2100Z to 24-2100Z

THE DISK REMAINED SPOTLESS AND SOLAR ACTIVITY CONTINUED AT A VERY LOW LEVEL. A LARGE CORONAL MASS EJECTION WAS OBSERVED OFF THE WEST LIMB DURING THE PERIOD (NO TIME AVAILABLE). DUE TO THE LACK OF OBVIOUS SOURCES ON THE VISIBLE DISK, IT IS POSSIBLE THIS EVENT ORIGINATED ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE SUN.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE AT A VERY LOW LEVEL FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 23-2100Z to 24-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO SLIGHTLY UNSETTLED.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD SHOULD BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE FIRST PART OF 25 MAR. A RECURRENT HIGH SPEED STREAM SHOULD BEGIN TO INFLUENCE THE FIELD LATE ON 25 MAR AND CONTINUE TO DO SO THROUGH 27 MAR. GENERALLY UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DURING THAT INTERVAL. ISOLATED MINOR STORMING IS POSSIBLE DURING THIS DISTURBANCE, ESPECIALLY AT HIGH LATITUDES.
III. Event Probabilities 25 MAR to 27 MAR
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       24 MAR 071
  Predicted   25 MAR-27 MAR  071/071/071
  90 Day Mean        24 MAR 074
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 23 MAR  003/004
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 24 MAR  005/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 25 MAR-27 MAR  008/008-015/015-020/020
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 MAR to 27 MAR
A. Middle Latitudes
Active20%20%40%
Minor storm05%10%10%
Major-severe storm01%10%10%
B. High Latitudes
Active25%20%40%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm05%10%10%

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