Viewing archive of Monday, 10 March 1997

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Mar 10 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 069 Issued at 2200Z on 10 MAR 1997

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED. REGION 8020 (N07E23) REMAINS STABLE AS A SEVEN SPOT 'CAO' BETA GROUP, WHILE REGION 8021 (S28E18) HAS DECAYED INTO A SPOTLESS PLAGE.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW. IIA. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 09/2100Z TO 10/2100Z: THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET AT ALL LATITUDES FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS, WITH THE CHANCE FOR ISOLATED PERIODS OF ACTIVE CONDITIONS, DUE TO A FAVORABLY POSITIONED CORONAL HOLE. ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED ON DAY THREE.
III. Event Probabilities 11 MAR to 13 MAR
Class M05%05%05%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       10 MAR 075
  Predicted   11 MAR-13 MAR  075/075/075
  90 Day Mean        10 MAR 075
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 09 MAR  002/003
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 10 MAR  005/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 11 MAR-13 MAR  015/015-010/012-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 MAR to 13 MAR
A. Middle Latitudes
Active30%30%20%
Minor storm15%15%05%
Major-severe storm05%05%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active30%30%20%
Minor storm15%15%05%
Major-severe storm05%05%01%

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