Viewing archive of Monday, 10 March 1997
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Mar 10 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 069 Issued at 2200Z on 10 MAR 1997IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED. REGION
8020 (N07E23) REMAINS STABLE AS A SEVEN SPOT 'CAO' BETA GROUP, WHILE
REGION 8021 (S28E18) HAS DECAYED INTO A SPOTLESS PLAGE.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET AT ALL LATITUDES FOR THE PAST 24
HOURS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS, WITH THE
CHANCE FOR ISOLATED PERIODS OF ACTIVE CONDITIONS, DUE TO A FAVORABLY
POSITIONED CORONAL HOLE. ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO
UNSETTLED ON DAY THREE.
III. Event Probabilities 11 MAR to 13 MAR
| Class M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 10 MAR 075 Predicted 11 MAR-13 MAR 075/075/075 90 Day Mean 10 MAR 075
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 09 MAR 002/003 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 10 MAR 005/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 11 MAR-13 MAR 015/015-010/012-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 MAR to 13 MAR
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 30% | 30% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 15% | 15% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 30% | 30% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 15% | 15% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 01% |
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