Viewing archive of Tuesday, 4 February 1997

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Feb 04 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 035 Issued at 2200Z on 04 FEB 1997

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03-2100Z to 04-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW TO LOW. REGION 8015 (N05W50) IS A 'DAO' BETA WITH 21 SPOTS AND REGION 8016 (S12W04) IS A 'BXO' BETA WITH 12 SPOTS. THERE WAS A 'C' CLASS EVENT FROM REGION 8016 AT 1111Z.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN VERY LOW TO LOW. IIA. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 03/2100Z TO 04/2100Z: THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET AT ALL LATITUDES. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRONS HAVE BEEN AT HIGH LEVELS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET.
III. Event Probabilities 05 FEB to 07 FEB
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       04 FEB 081
  Predicted   05 FEB-07 FEB  078/078/075
  90 Day Mean        04 FEB 077
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 03 FEB  006/007
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 04 FEB  005/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 05 FEB-07 FEB  005/008-005/008-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 FEB to 07 FEB
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

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