Viewing archive of Monday, 3 February 1997

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Feb 03 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 034 Issued at 2200Z on 03 FEB 1997

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02-2100Z to 03-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 8015 (N05W35) IS A 'DSO' BETA WITH 10 SPOTS AND 8016 (S21E09) IS A 'DSI' BETA WITH NINE SPOTS. REGION 8015 HAD SEVERAL SUBFAINT FLARES EARLIER.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN VERY LOW TO LOW. IIA. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 02/2100Z TO 03/2100Z: THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET TO UNSETTLED AT MIDLATITUDES AND QUIET TO ACTIVE AT HIGH LATITUDES. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRONS HAVE BEEN AT HIGH LEVELS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Event Probabilities 04 FEB to 06 FEB
Class M 01%01%01%
Class X 01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       03 FEB 080
  Predicted    04 FEB-06 FEB  073/073/073
  90 Day Mean        03 FEB 077
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 02 FEB  010/010
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 03 FEB  005/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 04 FEB-06 FEB  005/008-005/008-005/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 FEB to 06 FEB
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm 05%05%05%
Major-severe storm 01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm 10%10%10%
Major-severe storm 01%01%01%

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