Viewing archive of Sunday, 2 February 1997

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Feb 02 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 033 Issued at 2200Z on 02 FEB 1997

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. A CLASS C EVENT (AT 0625Z) AND SEVERAL SUBFAINT FLARES HAVE OCCURRED FROM NEW REGION 8016 (S20E22). TWO REGIONS HAVE SPOTS: REGION 8015 (N04W22) IS A 'CSO' BETA GROUP WITH 10 SPOTS AND REGION 8016 IS A 'CRO' BETA GROUP WITH 11 SPOTS.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET AT MID-LATITUDES AND QUIET TO ACTIVE AT HIGH LATITUDES. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRONS HAVE BEEN AT HIGH LEVELS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Event Probabilities 03 FEB to 05 FEB
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       02 FEB 078
  Predicted   03 FEB-05 FEB  072/072/073
  90 Day Mean        02 FEB 077
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 01 FEB  005/006
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 02 FEB  005/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 03 FEB-05 FEB  005/008-005/008-005/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 FEB to 05 FEB
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

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