Viewing archive of Thursday, 30 January 1997
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Jan 30 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 030 Issued at 2200Z on 30 JAN 1997IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 8015 (N03E20), THE
ONLY ACTIVE REGION ON THE VISIBLE DISK, REMAINS STABLE AS A FIVE
SPOT 'CSO' BETA GROUP.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET TO UNSETTLED AT ALL LATITUDES
FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRONS EXCEEDED
THE VERY HIGH FLUX THRESHOLD AT 30/1610Z, AND REMAINED AT THAT LEVEL
THROUGH THE REPORTING PERIOD.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS, WITH THE
POSSIBILITY FOR ISOLATED PERIODS OF UNSETTLED CONDITIONS.
III. Event Probabilities 31 JAN to 02 FEB
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 30 JAN 074 Predicted 31 JAN-02 FEB 074/074/074 90 Day Mean 30 JAN 077
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 29 JAN 008/008 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 30 JAN 008/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 31 JAN-02 FEB 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 31 JAN to 02 FEB
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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