Viewing archive of Friday, 17 January 1997
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Jan 17 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 017 Issued at 2200Z on 17 JAN 1997IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 16-2100Z to 17-2100Z SOALR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THERE WAS NO SIGNIFICANT
ACTIVITY NOTED. REGION 8011 (S06W04) IS THE ONLY SPOTTED REGION ON
THE VISIBLE DISK. IT IS A SIMPLE AXX SPOT GROUP AND SLOWLY DECAYING.
THE REMAINDER OF THE VISIBLE DISK REMAINS QUIET AND STABLE.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 16-2100Z to 17-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET AT ALL LATITUDES. THE GREATER
THAN 2 MEV ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUX RANGED FROM MODERATE TO HIGH
LEVELS OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUIET FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
III. Event Probabilities 18 JAN to 20 JAN
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 17 JAN 074 Predicted 18 JAN-20 JAN 074/074/074 90 Day Mean 17 JAN 076
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 16 JAN 003/003 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 17 JAN 002/003 PREDICTED AFR/AP 18 JAN-20 JAN 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 18 JAN to 20 JAN
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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