Viewing archive of Friday, 15 November 1996

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Nov 15 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 320 Issued at 2200Z on 15 NOV 1996

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 14-2100Z to 15-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED. REGION 7996 (N32E20), A FOUR SPOT 'BXO' GROUP, HAS GROWN IN SIZE AND COMPLEXITY. REGION 7995 (N00E19), A TWO SPOT 'AXX' GROUP, HAD SEVERAL SMALL BRIGHTNINGS EARLIER.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW. IIA. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 14/2100Z TO 15/2100Z: THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO ACTIVE LEVELS FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO ACTIVE FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Event Probabilities 16 NOV to 18 NOV
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       15 NOV  074
  Predicted   16 NOV-18 NOV  074/073/072
  90 Day Mean        15 NOV  070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 14 NOV  014/012
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 15 NOV  018/014
PREDICTED AFR/AP 16 NOV-18 NOV  010/015-010/010-010/020
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 16 NOV to 18 NOV
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm05%05%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm05%05%01%

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