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Viewing archive of Monday, 23 September 1996

Solar activity report

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Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Sep 23 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 267 Issued at 2200Z on 23 SEP 1996

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 22-2100Z to 23-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THE DISK REMAINS SPOTLESS.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 22-2100Z to 23-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO MINOR STORM LEVELS. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX WAS HIGH. SOLAR WIND DATA SHOW A CONTINUATION OF A HIGH SPEED STREAM.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST AT ACTIVE TO MINOR STORM LEVELS FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Event Probabilities 24 SEP to 26 SEP
PROTON EDICTED 24 SEP-26 SEP 069/069/069 90 Day Mean 23 SEP 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 22 SEP  022/022
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 23 SEP  020/022
PREDICTED AFR/AP 24 SEP-26 SEP  020/020-025/035-020/025
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 24 SEP to 26 SEP
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
A. Middle Latitudes
Active30%20%25%
Minor storm20%40%30%
Major-severe storm05%05%05%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%15%30%
Minor storm35%40%30%
Major-severe storm05%20%10%
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