Viewing archive of Sunday, 25 August 1996

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Aug 25 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 238 Issued at 2200Z on 25 AUG 1996

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24-2100Z to 25-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 7986 (S12E54) PRODUCED A C1/SF EVENT AT 25/1236Z.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW. REGION 7986 DOES HAVE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE A C-CLASS FLARE. IIA. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 24/2100Z TO 25/2100Z: THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO ACTIVE LEVELS FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED. UNSETTLED TO SLIGHTLY ACTIVE LEVELS MAY BE OBSERVED DUE TO A RECURRENT PATTERN.
III. Event Probabilities 26 AUG to 28 AUG
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       25 AUG  075
  Predicted   26 AUG-28 AUG  076/077/078
  90 Day Mean        25 AUG  071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 24 AUG  012/008
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 25 AUG  015/016
PREDICTED AFR/AP 26 AUG-28 AUG  010/015-015/015-015/015
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 AUG to 28 AUG
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%15%15%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%20%20%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm01%05%05%

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