Viewing archive of Saturday, 24 August 1996
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Aug 24 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 237 Issued at 2200Z on 24 AUG 1996IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 23-2100Z to 24-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. REGION 7986 DOES HAVE
POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE A C-CLASS FLARE.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 23-2100Z to 24-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS
FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED. UNSETTLED TO SLIGHTLY
ACTIVE LEVELS ARE POSSIBLE THE THIRD DAY DUE TO A RECURRENT
CORONAL HOLE.
III. Event Probabilities 25 AUG to 27 AUG
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 24 AUG 075 Predicted 25 AUG-27 AUG 076/077/078 90 Day Mean 24 AUG 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 23 AUG 013/015 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 24 AUG 010/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 25 AUG-27 AUG 008/010-010/012-015/015
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 AUG to 27 AUG
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 05% |
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