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The Norwegian

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The Norwegian last won the day on June 3

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About The Norwegian

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    Male
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    Norway
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    The Sun and climate

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  1. Hi. You can check out the work of the Danish astrophysicist, Henrik Svensmark. He has found strong correlation between solar minimum and cloudcover.
  2. Hi 3gMike. Yes, it can sure look like that now, but I do not feeling sure that it will look like that a year from now. From my research I see 2 potential times for sun minimum. October 2020, or August 2022. I see a very strong correlation between planet position and sunspots, and I also believe that this minimum will come in one of my 2 options above
  3. Sorry, my tired eyes read 124 days this morning Now I see it says 125.. My mistake
  4. I believe there is an small error, it seems like the "2020 spotless days" is not counting days. Today, after 2 spotless days, it still on 124 days for 2020.
  5. Sweet I have one suggestion: In the last 365 days we actually have 317 days of spotless sun. Could it be an idea to have one Counter for the last 365 days. Then one would sooner see when a minimum is nearing the end?
  6. Hi Spaceweatherlive Tried to email you, but you dont like hotmails, so... I noticed that your register over spotless days has been stuck on 112 days for about a week or so, even when the sun is as spotless as it gets!! Just want to let you now if you didnt already. Keep up the good work
  7. First of all "theartist", thank you for teaching me the right concepts, then thank you for informing me about the error in the simulator, I have checked it now and Mercury is about 10 days too far ahead in its orbit. I have now adjusted for it and emerging sunspot we are seeing far south belonging to SC25 may be due to an Inferior Conjunction between Neptun and Mercury. So this was just a coincidense(Lucky) When I adjust further, I get the following chances for sunspots: 2020.02.09 +/- a few days sunpots slightly south of mid-latitude due to Inferior Conjunction between Mercury and Venus. Probably SC24 2020.02.16 +/- a few days sunspots north of mid-latitude due to Superior Conjunction between Mercury and Jupiter. This could be both SC24/25 2020.02.25 +/- a few days sunspots high north latitude due to Inferior Conjunction between Mercury and Earth. This will for sure belong to SC25. 2020.02.28 +/- a few days sunspots mid-latitude/slightly north due to Superior Conjunction between Venus and Jupiter. Probably SC24 I hope there is not another error in my simulator, but I will try to find another simulator for further predictions.
  8. Well, first of all, I don`t do serious work, just hobby Yes, the simulator I use shows Sun, Mercury and Venus in line approx 2020.01.31 However, sunspots emerge 3-6 days earlier than the actual date. Almost every prediction I have made (10-15) with this simulator the last 8-10month has happend. Even if the simulator does not show the correct position of planets, it is certainly good at predicting sunspots We`ll just has to wait and see how I do in my further predictions. If all my predictions are just luck, it will eventually run out..
  9. The problem is probably my bad explanation, so you don`t understand what I mean Mercury is coming between The Sun and Venus, so you can draw a straight line from The Sun and thru Mercury, and over to Venus...
  10. I predicted sunspot on January 28th +/- a few days. It was predicted to emerge on mid to South latitude and now it is starting to emerge. Hopefully it will be an registered sunspot in a day or two It`s seems to belong to SC25.
  11. Sorry it took some time before my reply, but I only do this now and then *I don`t see much chance of sunspots until January 28th +/- a few days=2-3days. These sunspots will arise on mid to south latitude on solar disc. Due to Venus and Mercury align, which might "pull out" sunspots. *Then on February 7th +/-a few days, sunspots will arise on mid latitude. Due to Mercury is on the opposite side of Jupiter, (the tidal effect from Jupiter works both on the side of the sun facing Jupiter, and on the opposite side). However, here is more chanse of H-alpha plages without sunspots, I believe *Again on February 15th +/- a few days, sunspots will arise high north on solar disc. Belonging to SC25. As theartist says, it a very deep minimum so some of these predictions may only be H-alpha plages without sunspots. Due to Mercury and Earth align, this will "pull out" sunspot on high north latitudes, belonging to SC25. I hope I hope I explained myself understandably. Today 01/24/2020 we can see a tiny, tiny spot Nice work Mr. "theartist"🏆
  12. I dont see much chance of sunspots until January 28th +/- a few days=2-3days. These sunspots will arise on mid to south latitude on solar disc. Then on February 7th +/-a few days, sunspots will arise on mid latitude. Again on February 15th +/- a few days, sunspots will arise high north on solar disc. Belonging to SC25. As theartist says, it a very deep minimum so some of these predictions may only be H-alpha plages without sunspots.
  13. I dont beileve that V. Zharkova has stated "this solar minimum ends in 2020", but she has in her video presentations stated that this Grand solar minimum is starting in 2020, and of course her results of principal component analysis of magnetic waves on the Sun, which I believe is caused by Jupiter . Find the results of her results attach below. Image source: Simon J. Shepherd, Sergei I. Zharkov, Valentina V. Zharkova I think you had most of your summary in Place. I would like to add that I also believe that the inclination of both Jupiter and Saturns orbit is what causes the polarity shift from South to North and then back to South to make an full solar cycle (22y). I also will add that if CoG is too far out, or too far into the Sun this may causes minimum. But this is not "written in stone". There are of course other forces that influence this, like the tidalwave force of all four big planets.
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