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About CazadorDeWulf

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    Minor flare

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    Weather, Music, Computer Hardware, Engineering Marvels

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  1. Unfortunately, our predictions of the arrival of Solar-generated events are limited by technology and current knowledge. To know when and where, exactly, the event will affect Earth, may require additional satellite observatories. To reliably forecast weather for any practical purposes requires a substantial investment in instruments which can observe the events which we're forecasting. Additionally, the Earth's atmosphere and magnetosphere play a significant role in this forecasting, yet both of those are not completely understood yet and cannot be looked at for meaningful data as to how the Earth will interact with an incoming event. And so, we resort to the observation and analysis of patterns, and hence we have no exacts in our forecasts.
  2. Well, SWL looks like a platform for people to spout conspiracy theories from a soapbox, now. Great, I was liking this place.
  3. While there are believable premises at the root of a lot of the things you have been exposed to, I believe you are under the influence of propaganda and video alterations. Unfortunately, this makes actually discussing some of the matters with you impossible as you already have concluded, it seems, that meteorology has no substance in predicting how hot it will be today or tomorrow. No, the heat in Seattle has nothing to do with flares, nor was there a substantial enough change in the amount of radiation emitted by the Sun/received by Earth to call for... well, actually, there is a meteorological phenomenon taking place right now, but we can't blame a weakening of the atmosphere. It's an effect of rising sea surface temperatures, that's for absolute certain. This journalistic digging you've dug is not a scientific approach to assessing the things you are feeling, Seems to me you only recently started suspecting space and the sun of giving you physical symptoms, but we're at or near solar minimum... if you were to be experiencing these symptoms due to some hypersensitivity, then surely you would have showed up years prior with these premonitions. Believe me - you're not the only one suspecting some shenanigans in our atmosphere, but before jumping to conclusions, do yourself due diligence and become educated about the fields of science your conclusions rely on, and maybe in the future, assess the validity from a more objective, outward perspective. We are able to trick ourselves into hyperchondriasis due to a lack of education about subjects that uninformed authors will use to vehicle some doomsday article telling of how our cats can sense Earthquakes and won't warn us if they're coming, or how space rocks trap electricity and send it back down to earth via Radio Signals. It's all fuel for someone to say, "Yeah I can feel that!" Believe me, it would be cool if we could directly connect to outer space, but the consequences would be immediate, detrimental, and obvious. It's more likely you were experiencing a meteorological phenomenon, often disregarded by the doomsday authors since weather gets coverage internationally on a daily basis. That said, I believe it is called "Sudden Stratospheric Warming"
  4. Well that's quite a cherry-picked response if I've ever seen one. Opting out of this discussion.
  5. Hi, you ought to message the webmaster directly. Links to his profile are posted in various spots on the forum, just click the left side of comments. What is the reason for deleting the account? You are opting out of potentially revelatory community by doing so and we will all miss the mind and potential which could have been.
  6. Forget what I said. Don't care for the political debate.
  7. The weather in a single locale within a 24hr period, for example it being sunny in Maryland, or -40º in Montana, is one of thousands of samples which can be used in analyzing trends, patterns, anomalies, etc., and in no way can be used to predict and assert what those trends, patterns, anomalies, etc. are in another locale, nor what they will be tomorrow or the next day, without correlating with, and accounting for all of the other useful, unique, and anomalous samples of weather-related data. We have satellites with equipment that can tell the "story" on a 5 minute interval across most of the Western Hemisphere, and as such we should trust in the data it delivers to us, because it tells everyone the same story without perversion. Did you know that there are deserts in South America that haven't seen rain in such a long time, that bacteria and other microbial life adapted to be completely adverse to rain? A rain event there in 2015, and again in 2017, led to the extinction of several species of this microbial life. It goes to show that rain is a major factor in the health of the land, both in geological shape, and in biological diversity. But the important part about it is consistency, and this rain event was anomalous. We have to look back at the last time it rained there, as well as why it rained there this time, to explain what had just occurred. We have to look back in time, and we have to rely on computer models moving forward, to come close to gripping answers. Correlate this with melting sea ice and rising waters, and a decreasing albedo means that the global mean temperature will climb, indefinitely. To me, this is a very basic and believable flow of logic which is the premise for several fields of study pertaining to Space Weather, as well as Meteorology. To make claims about the state of warming in Earth's atmosphere based entirely on a 6-12 hour observation of clear weather is like pointing out a single sunspot to claim we aren't close to solar minimum. (GOES-17 is now operational, by the way)
  8. Wow, thanks for the slightly cynical post! But this is only scratching the surface of what I'm asking
  9. Are aurora watchers disappointed by the Sun's somewhat lackluster delivery of wind? And are scientists busying themselves with other things for the next long while? Which fields of science or human development are most relieved when geomagnetic-interference becomes less prominent, such as right now? Which fields are reliant on the concurrent activity of our Sun, and become temporarily retired or even at-risk of losing Government funding? I'm sure the answer is a few google searches away but I'd rather someone shared their expertise here! In other words, I am asking you directly Maybe we can discuss this.
  10. Besides the obvious advice of seeking medical attention for this immediately, which I hope you will do if you haven't already... this is what I think: A "nearly 100%" correlation is unfortunately not a 100% correlation; you ought to expect your discovery to be discredited immediately without more data to show actual correlation. For instance, human beings do not possess geomagnetic-sensing capabilities as far as I or anyone on Earth knows, and if there is indeed research and experimentation showing real causality in Space Weather, and not proven medical conditions, please provide such, so as to convince me/anyone to see things your way and begin moving forward with this newfound discovery. This log of yours uses SWL's data only, which is absolutely incomplete in terms of the information we could probe within the Earth's magnetosphere. It could also have been below 15% humidity every day your son had an episode, which would be a more positive correlation in your experiment than what it is you're attempting to prove is a causality. Science is, in part, eliminating information from the "equation" that doesn't need to be there in order to ascertain some semblance of real truth and fact; have you done that at all? Look up: "Confirmation Bias" In any case, get your son to a Doctor. Doctors are trained to diagnose and choose a method of treatment for countless conditions in their school of medicine. Treating seizures is more imperative than noting coincidences in Earth's geomagnetic state. After all, would you rather discover the cause of his seizures was something that was too poorly understood to be treated, or a known disease that likely can be treated?? I choose the latter!
  11. While I admire the effort someone put in to prove/disprove or even discover new theories, or rather, just the framework, there must be more work done. I'm very much open to debate about drawing conclusions based on a limited number of data, as well as its representation to form a conclusion about these things. We can all work together, surely in some way, to align recorded events with one another or something of a logical matter, to really crack this unlabeled can from outer space open and peer inside. Here's just a bit of subjective wisdom for aspiring "scientists" that I think a lot of people need to read: We are human beings, and we make mistakes. The biggest mistake we make in science, from my personal observations, is coming to an impasse with one another. Science exists so this needn't ever happen, I believe. We research, we check, we attempt to solve and we try to share our curiosities or findings. Questions are often solved with more questions, branching out in seemingly infinite ways. Conclusions should not be rushed if we are to even scratch the surface of the unknown; attempting to solve a problem or answer a question pertaining to the relativity of one observable pattern of data to another takes a lot of willpower, because what sounds unlikely and easy to challenge probably is. The bottom line is that we must accept questions as answers, and examine just how interconnected everything and its opposite are.
  12. I have not taken it upon myself to gather evidence or even illustrate the concepts I am about to propose, but I wanted to drop them off here and see what anyone might think about this. I am an amateur, so hear me out: I have been monitoring space weather on and off quite frequently, and during periods of geomagnetic disturbance I keep a close eye on how the IMF fluctuates. I saw the Trans-equatorial hole coming before it was facing us, and decided to look up what it was. It is uncommon, to say the least, but not unexpected. However, what is unexpected is the influence it is having on the direction of the IMF. One minute, it is moderately north. The next, it is moderately south, and dropping. Then, woah, moderately north. I am separately monitoring earthquakes via "spectrographs", and local Helicorders. Well, suffice to say after a lot of close observation, there are a few things I can conclude: Shortly following SWL updates indicating sudden and sharp shifts in the direction of the IMF, seismographic activity occurs almost globally; there is almost always feedback simultaneously around specific geographic regions. Particularly, I witnessed a moderately south-to-moderately north shift just half an hour ago, and areas such as Mount Rainier and Hawaii responded at the same time with a "chirp". In fact, there were several chirps that occurred at an increasing frequency and died off after about 4-5 occurrences. Now, this is what I would call "observational science", but I can see some manner of connection when observing seismic activity around Chile. Northern Chile has been quite active lately, but seems to have a pattern. Big shifts in the IMF precede seismographic feedback in Northern Chile. This may also be true of Northern Japan. Even if you're hell-bent on believing that there is no connection between space weather and earthquakes, there may be a connection between our readings of the IMF and seismographic readings that can lend humanity to forecast an eruption or earthquake more accurately. I obviously show my ignorance full-force here, but I urge you all to take the time to observe with your own eyes any concurrent connections between significant space weather and deep-geological activity via live monitoring tools found throughout the internet in conjunction with Spaceweatherlive.
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