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  3. The line is the separation between the two polarities (positive and negative side). If you can easily draw a line between the spots magnetic polarities we have a beta region. So still magnetically simple, not much development in the trailing spots so I don’t expect much.
  4. Hey Guys. A little Question : What does this striped line beside Region 2765 mean/resemble in the Solar Synoptic map? I tried looking for it in their About and History section, but only found a legend for Plages and Filaments. https://imgur.com/4vyqFPw Here you can see which ones i mean! PS: Do you think it will grow further or decay soon? does it still look simple? (To me it still looks simple because alot of it is Plage according to SDO)
  5. There is ample meteorological evidence that shows the hottest years correspond with sunspot maximums, e.g., the 1988 hot spell was exactly at that point. There are many dates that correspond like the peak sunspots of the 1930's and the temperature records and dust bowl. The low sunspots of the 1970's correspond to the climate being called "the new Ice Age" LOL by NASA and most others. https://earthsky.org/space/solar-cycle-24-25-sunspot-predictions
  6. We sure can use some help with the German translation! I've send you a private message with some information.
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  8. Thanks Vancanneyt! By the way, do you need help with German translation of the Site? Im fluent
  9. The region has still a fairly simple magnetic structure so even with the current development it doesn't pose a risk in solar flares. It's nice to see a region of the new cycle that lives long enough and after it's decay grew again. If it gets more complex, chances will rise for C-class flares. Solen is indeed a good source, it has a good automated spot detection and I used it a lot in the past. At SpaceWeatherLive we also do in depth analysis once the region has gained a potential for increased risk on strong solar flares. Once a region is complex enough we always do our Delta spot search and do the analysis in a news update. It's also possible to learn this by visiting our help section and read the articles about the magnetic classification of sunspots and the classification of spots, but it requires some training so please follow the sources and you'll learn quickly enough to judge if a region has potential. Also browse around the solar activity forum, Im sure there are some very good topics of active regions where we discussed active regions.
  10. A great supplementary source of information about sunspots, coronal holes, and events throughout the day, in addition to some archived information throughout the years(in case you feel like digging in to the nitty gritty) is this website: http://www.solen.info/solar/ I usually come to the Space Weather Live website first, to see anything worth seeing. If there appears to be activity, I then check that website for annotated insight as to the current events. This sunspot has evolved quite rapidly, so I do think it has a chance of getting larger, and even producing some small, but meaningful flares. The bigger it gets, the higher the chance for an M-class flare, and those are always exciting Whenever this happens to a sunspot rotating towards Earth, it does beg our attention. It is still all one sunspot, and it receives a designation based on the magnetic configuration of the spot - see more here: https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/help/the-magnetic-classification-of-sunspots As for it being active/real, Solen does a decent job of commenting on the matter, however, you may observe the various SDO images and GOES images to get near-real time perspective of what the sunspot is doing, whether it be filaments, loops, or coronal holes. Use this to help understand the information you get from SWPC, Solen, and Space Weather Live!
  11. Thanks alot for your answer Christopher! I'd love to hear more. Im really interested. Do you think it will get even bigger now? It grew 1 more tiny sunspot i think! Btw: i have a problem figuring out if something is only active or a real sunspot, any tips?:) ty!
  12. It is natural for sunspots to wax and wane until they fade out of existence. It's kind of like a thunder storm, only in the sense that it could go as quickly as it came, or it could last for a long time, or its remnants could bloom into yet another wave of convection. Remember, though, that sunspots inhibit convection of the plasma around the surface of the sun, and therefore heating and cooling take place at very uneven rates; in its attempt to reach equilibrium, it instead amplified the total entropy and thus we have a more interesting phenomenon to observe.
  13. Hey Community. Today I'm watching the new Sunspot, and at first when it rolled into earth view, it decayed. Now, it looks like its growing again. How is that possible? Does it now count as a bigger threat for big solar flares? Sorry, im new to spaceweather. is there any way to predict if it will decay again? I saw your update on Facebook and wondered if you maybe could do them more often.
  14. The solar minimum taken individually does not produce large short-term changes but the decreasing solar cycles can certainly be blamed for over half a century to today.
  15. Sorry, my tired eyes read 124 days this morning Now I see it says 125.. My mistake
  16. yesterday was spotless, the day before not (AR12764 on June 1st), so it was a plus one: 125 days in 2020 en last 365 days 125 days. PS: yes the table updates daily 😉 somewhere after 0h UTC
  17. I think there are technically two sunspots, according to SWPC. You can see them here: http://www.solen.info/solar/ It could be that is why the bottom two numbers are the same, although the "Last 365 days" figure would then be incorrect. Edit: The table has updated, and appears completely fine. Check main page.
  18. I believe there is an small error, it seems like the "2020 spotless days" is not counting days. Today, after 2 spotless days, it still on 124 days for 2020.
  19. There's an active region with a decent sized spot rotating around the east limb at high latitudes, definitely is less decayed than the other region when it was rotating through the east limb.
  20. @VoltarDark Yes ... the Summer (UV) is (at least) a part of the virus disappearing. Check out these yearly death numbers (all causes) . you can clearly see a High in every Winter vs Low in every Summer. (all countries in Europe) HERE: https://euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps (check many graphs, per country, per age ...etc) This shows what i call the "Short-term effect" (1yr cycle ). If (as shown above) there is a short-term effect from the Sun ... which PRECISELY ! synchronises with (UV) intensity-levels that reach earth ...... Then there must be a "Long-term effect" (11yr cycle) also ... which in that case follows the solar-cycle intensity-levels that reach earth. As a matter of fact every change (nomatter up or down or short or long ) in solar-intensity (per wavelength) has effect on life and virus on Earth. Some life likes high levels of radiation ...and another type of life likes low levels. It is so simple isn't it ? ... no need to be a solar-expert ! In addition ... each life-form responds to certain (different) wavelengths ... even dead materials (elements) do ! ... Google for "Action-Spectrum" (Action-spectrum is a group of wavelengths that certain life or material reacts to) This effect is used in for example in spectrum-analysis of drug-samples (absorption-spectrum) ... there is a database of "Action-Spectra" for each drug the machine compares it with the sample ...if it matches ...bingo ! i have read many scientific papers where they researched this. They radiated viruses/bacteria with different UV wavelenghts ...and measured absorption and reflection. they found that they all react to more then just one wavelength ... for example 4 or 9 different wavelengths. (''spectrum") All types react to different (groups of) wavelenghts ... it depends on their sizes, or size of sensors, or structure. Interesting ... i read that life in the sea/ocean reacts mostly to 475 nanometers. They found that water has the best "transmission" (lowest loss) at 475 nanometer. that wavelength will go deepest ... Wonderful how life adapts to everything !
  21. There is a debate about the virus losing potency but without any known mutation causing it. What is causing this ? The summer ? If it is as related to uvs as we think it is, then this fall will be bad. Uvs will get lower til the 23 December 2020 and it is also the when the earth is the furthest from the sun in its orbit. Light is related square of distance... So i understand that the virus was already declining when it hit us, but then this time it will be an apex. Better be ready then sorry.
  22. Fai delle analisi interessanti ma penso che lamentarci ci aiuti poco. I believe that quantifying such values is almost impossible.
  23. It's a research that hasn't been done because of the lack of data we have of the farside. Not every bright arc on Stereo is a sunspot region (unless they cause flares that can be observed from Stereo and is always very likely to be associated with a sunspot region) so it's difficult to get numbers from that side. In SC24 we have also seen some major activity on the farside but those regions never survived long enough to have some activity left on the frontside. In any case, we will have regions that will form on the visible solar disk. there's just not a pattern to it to which longitude they will form and the lifetime of any region is also very variable.
  24. I have been watching the Sun for over a year now and I have noticed that during the summer of 2019 we had a few small sunspots form on the backside and die before they went over the east limb, and we have been seeing this again over the past month or so and I am curious whether we will get as many sunspots on the earth side as the far side. I am also curious whether there are causes to this.
  25. You replied as expected. Nice going. A bit flowery with the opening though. I thought that this was a site for science discussion, even if one disagrees with what is being proposed. So no nice chat over an aged Bordeaux, and I am no aristocrat. I stated clearly and simply what I consider to be an overlooked/unseen important aspect of what drives the climate of the planet. My forecast which I made at the beginning of February actually was formed back in December. I made a comment on Feb 1st presenting the forecast in a simple statement . My forecast was 100% right, as can be seen by looking at actual temp change in the 3.4 region. Note that NOAAs primary forecast for 60% neutral through the end of the summer was a total miss when the 3.4 region dropped down to -0.6C over the course of the last week. It has since bumped back up a few tenths. Here is more on how I have derived my thoughts, ... https://goldminor.wordpress.com/2020/01/17/sun-enso-atmospheric-temps-correlation/ I plan to prove through the course of this year that I can accurately forecast temp shifts in the 3.4 region. It is my only way to show others that what I have seen is correct. I do not have the science and mathematical background to speak in terms which would be more understandable. What I do have is 12 years of reading climate science related material, and putting my mind to work sorting out the puzzles. I am equipped in that regard with a well above average mentality, and a great inner curiosity. So I am a bit proud of my initial success at getting this first part of the forecast. Therefore I speak out, and add further thought. Right? I mean just how effective would it be if I came out to claim that I successfully forecast last weeks weather?
  26. Opinions derive from expressing a certain point of view regarding certain scientific facts. The language you describe as "frightening" implies your own descriptive point of view to which not everyone could agree.
  27. What is the point of this comment? What are you even talking about? I wrote what I wrote to demonstrate the fact that just speaking feelings and opinions and attaching them to science to make bold claims with "scary" language isn't fair to anybody. Never mind, I see that I'm not speaking with someone of an adult mind. To take a defensive-confrontational stance and dismiss what I have written as simply an opposing, bigoted opinion is indicative of someone just seeking attention on a forum/trolling.
  28. Nothing of what you wrote contradicts what I have described. My impression is that what departs from your opinion must fundamentally be wrong. If anyone is convinced of what he says, I don't see why he can't make that claim. If he is wrong, well, he will correct himself.
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