Solar activity report
Below you'll find a daily report braught to you by the NOAA about the solar activity and auroral activity during the past day and the prediction for the comming days. This page is daily updated arround midnight.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2010 Sep 03 2201 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by Poollicht.eu
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by Poollicht.eu
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 246 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Sep 2010
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02-2100Z to 03-2100Z:
Solar activity was very low. Region 1105 (N18W22)
produced the only x-ray event of the period, a B1.8 flare at
03/1438Z. The three other regions on the disk remained quiet and
stable.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast:
Solar activity is forecast to be very
low with the chance for an isolated C-class flare for the next 3
days (4-6 September).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02-2100Z to 03-2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast:
The geomagnetic field is
forecast to be mostly quiet on day 1 (4 September), and quiet to
active on days 2 and 3 (5-6 September) due to recurrent coronal hole
effects.
III. Event Probabilities 04 Sep to 06 Sep:
Class M 05/05/05 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF Green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 03 Sep 077 Predicted 04 Sep-06 Sep 078/078/076 90 Day Mean 03 Sep 078
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Sep 005/008 Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Sep 002/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Sep-06 Sep 005/005-008/010-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Sep to 06 Sep
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 20/30/30
Minor storm 05/10/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/30/30
Minor storm 05/10/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
Warnings
There are currently no chances to see an aurora display on the Middle latitudes
(0%)
(0%)
Auroral activity
High latitude (28% chance)
Middle latitude (0% chance)
Low latitude (0% chance)
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