The Solar Wind parameters are derived from the ACE satellite, this satellite is situated on 1/100 of the Sun - Earth distance. The measurements from the ACE satellite reach us in about an hour.
The Speed of the solar wind is very important, if the speed is too low there will be no chances
to see some aurora. The normal solar wind speed is around 300km/sec but increases when a coronal
hole or CME shock (coronal mass ejection plasma cloud) arrives. Depending of the speed of impact the
solar wind can jump to 500 or 700km/sec or even 1000km/sec.
For the Middle Latitudes a good speed
is required and should be around 700km/sec, but it can also happen that aurora can form with lower
speeds (depends on the strength of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field).
On the data plots you can easily see when a CME shock has arrived, the solar wind increases immediatly
with sometimes several 100km/sec. When a shock arrives, it's time to look at the IMF parameters and
the magnetometers. Keep in mind that when the shock arives at the ACE satellite it takes about an
hour to reach earth. Below a good example of an arrival of a CME shock of 2006:

This parameter measures the proton density in the solar wind. The more protons in the solar wind, the more chances we get for an auroral display. The scale, used in the plots, is protones per cubic cm or p/cm³. A value above 50 is positive but is no garantee that we'll see the aurora. It often happens that at impact the density is high but then collapses to nearly zero, don't let it fool you.
Um auch bei starkem Aurora Chancen zugänglich zu sein, haben wir eine schwere Server nötig dass mit alle Besuchern umgehen kann. Unterstützen Sie dieses Projekt das wir online können bleiben!
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05:42
May
20
2013
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Mittelschwere M1.77 Sonneneruption |
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22:36
May
19
2013
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Schwache CME Auswirkungen Derzeit sehen wir die Auswirkungen der Ankunft eines koronalen Massenauswurf (CME) an der ACE-Satelliten. Der Sonnenwind Geschwindigkeit stieg mit 79.26 km/sec aus 455.5 km/sec.
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06:24
May
18
2013
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G2 - Gemäßigten geomagnetischen Sturm (Kp 6.00) - Beobachter in hohen Breiten können einige schöne Zeiten der visuellen aurora. Die Chancen für den Mittleren Breiten noch relativ gering. |